Daily Archives: Saturday, 13-Oct-2012

Updated election forecasting model still points to Romney win, University of Colorado study says | University of Colorado Boulder

I know some of my friends on the right are going to love this while my friends on the left and in the middle are going to dismiss this for one reason or another. The thing is, this isn’t a poll. It’s a state by state election model working with electoral votes rather than the popular vote and using economic data rather than polling data.

“We continue to show that the economic conditions favor Romney even though many polls show the president in the lead,” said political science Professor Kenneth Bickers of CU-Boulder. “Other published models point to the same result, but they looked at the national popular vote, while we stress state-level economic data.”

via Updated election forecasting model still points to Romney win, University of Colorado study says | University of Colorado Boulder.

Of course a model is just a model and it will be tweaked with each election to make it more accurate. That doesn’t promise it will be right, only likely to be right.

Gary Johnson: Mitt is “without one molecule of brain” – Salon.com

So Salon does an interview with Gary Johnson and Johnson trashes both Obama and Romney pretty well but he gives one pretty good zinger against Romney so Salon runs with that as their headline for the interview.

I mean Romney, in the second [GOP primary] debate, said that it’s a ‘no brainer’ to build a fence across the border. Um, Alex, you’re talking about somebody right now without one molecule of brain based on his statement. Building a fence across the border would be wacky nuts! And here it is — that’s what he wants to do.

via Gary Johnson: Mitt is “without one molecule of brain” – Salon.com.

Personally, I thought this dig at Obama was just as accurate:

I also really thought we were going to get some really favorable movement on gay rights and marriage equality. And I was the last person who thought we were going to be in a military intervention situation under him, based on what he said during the campaign. But here we are. He is as militaristic as President Bush, as militaristic a president as we have ever had.

So why am I voting for a third party presidential candidate? I fully agree with Gary Johnson’s assessment of the two mainstream candidates.